On the other hand, trade unions representatives, for example, received very little coverage, with business representatives receiving seven times more coverage than unions. [203] This was reflected in terms of MPs elected: General Election 2015 Full Results (577 KB, Excel Spreadsheet) The Conservatives won an overall majority of 11 seats in the House of Commons, not including the Speaker. We have questioned 100,000 people, weighting the data to match both the British electorate and the results of the 2015 general election . In 2015 it had a total electorate of 64,927 and a turnout of 60%. [205] They recorded a number of record breaking swings of over 30% including the new record of 39.3% in Glasgow North East. [163] In that situation, no two parties (excluding a Lab-Con coalition) would have been able to form a majority without the support of a third. For example, UKIP had 3.9 million votes per seat, whereas SNP had just 26,000 votes per seat, about 150 times greater representation for each vote cast. The highest-profile members of parliament leaving were: Gordon Brown, a former Prime Minister, Leader of the Labour Party (both 2007–2010) and Chancellor of the Exchequer (1997–2007); and William Hague, the outgoing First Secretary of State and Leader of the House of Commons and former Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs (2010–2014), Leader of the Conservative Party and Leader of the Opposition (both 1997–2001). Labour, in return, sought to establish their fiscal responsibility. [136] Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrat vote, which had held at about 10% since late 2010, declined further to about 8%. [123] While the Scottish edition of The Sun encouraged people north of the border to vote for the SNP, the English edition encouraged people to vote for the Conservatives in order to "stop the SNP running the country". Some UK political parties that only stand in part of the country have reciprocal relationships with parties standing in other parts of the country. [136], Early 2015 saw the Labour lead continue to fall, disappearing by the start of March. Approaches may just use current polling, i.e. [184], As it turned out, the results were even more favourable to the Conservatives than the poll predicted, with the Conservatives obtaining 330 seats, an absolute majority. The North Down seat was retained by independent Sylvia Hermon. )[182], The exit poll was markedly different from the pre-election opinion polls,[183] which had been fairly consistent; this led many pundits and MPs to speculate that the exit poll was inaccurate, and that the final result would have the two main parties closer to each other. This had the effect of moving forward the date of the dissolution of the Parliament to 30 March 2015. Instead, if there is an anti-Tory majority after the election, we will offer to work with other parties to keep the Tories out". Colours denote the winning party, as shown in the main table of results. Prior to this, the power to dissolve Parliament was a royal prerogative, exercised by the sovereign on the advice of the prime minister. [186] The company also claimed that a poll they carried out a day before the election gave the Conservatives 37% and Labour 31%, though they said they did not release the poll (commissioned by the Daily Mirror) on the concern that it was too much of an outlier with other poll results. [26][27] The Economist described a "familiar two-and-a-half-party system" (Conservatives, Labour, and the Liberal Democrats) that "appears to be breaking down" with the rise of the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP), the Greens and the Scottish National Party (SNP). The party also lost their deposit in 341 seats, the same number as in every general election from 1979 to 2010 combined. [192][193] The inquiry published preliminary findings in January 2016, concluding that "the ways in which polling samples are constructed was the primary cause of the polling miss". "[233], Following the election, The Daily Telegraph detailed changes to Wikipedia pages made from computers with IP addresses inside Parliament raising suspicion that "MPs or their political parties deliberately hid information from the public online to make candidates appear more electable to voters" and a deliberate attempt to hide embarrassing information from the electorate. ", "Northern Ireland Westminster election forecast 2015", "Upper Bann: Jo-Anne Dobson closing in on David Simpson as poll shows drop in DUP support", "Election 2015: New exclusive poll puts Labour and Tories on exactly 33.7 per cent each", "TNS Poll – Parties have reached stalemate", "YouGov/The Sun/The Times Survey Results", "Ashcroft National Poll – Pre Election. Leader's TV debates. [196], After all 650 constituencies had been declared, the results were:[197], The following table shows final election results as reported by BBC News[200] and The Guardian. [123] For example, The Daily Telegraph printed a letter purportedly sent directly to the paper from 5,000 small business owners; the letter had been organised by the Conservatives and prepared at Conservative Campaign Headquarters. After nominations had closed and ballot papers were printed, two UKIP candidates were suspended from the party for offensive comments. Ipsos MORI polling after the election suggested the following demographic breakdown: YouGov polling after the election suggested the following demographic breakdown: The election led to an increase in the number of female MPs, to 191 (29% of the total, including 99 Labour; 68 Conservative; 20 SNP; 4 other) from 147 (23% of the total, including 87 Labour; 47 Conservative; 7 Liberal Democrat; 1 SNP; 5 other). Second is that investors have been discounting days and weeks of wrangling after polling day over who would form the government – and so they are semi-euphoric that we already know who's in charge. [106][107] The leader of the SDLP, Alasdair McDonnell, said: "We will be the left-of-centre backbone of a Labour administration" and that "the SDLP will categorically refuse to support David Cameron and the Conservative Party". The Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 (as amended by the Electoral Registration and Administration Act 2013) led to the dissolution of the 55th Parliament on 30 March 2015 and the scheduling of the election on 7 May, the House of Commons not having voted for an earlier date. [255], In 2016–18, the European Parliament found that UKIP had unlawfully spent over €173,000 of EU funding on the party's 2015 UK election campaign, via the Alliance for Direct Democracy in Europe and the affiliated Institute for Direct Democracy. General Election 2015: results In a result few had expected, the Conservative Party secured a slim majority in the 2015 General Election. ", "TV election debates: DUP to seek judicial review of BBC's decision", Election TV debate: Parties claim spoils after seven-way battle, "Election 2015: The death of the campaign poster", Getting Engaged? UUP 0.9 Several theories have been put forward to explain the inaccuracy of the pollsters. Liberal Democrat plans were to reduce the number of MPs to 500, and for them to be elected using a proportional system. Under the provisions of the Septennial Act 1716, as amended by the Parliament Act 1911, an election had to be announced on or before the fifth anniversary of the beginning of the previous parliament, barring exceptional circumstances. The Scottish National Party had a stunning election, rising from just 6 seats to 56 – winning all but 3 of the constituencies in Scotland and securing 50% of the popular vote in Scotland. The campaign was notable for a reduction in the number of party posters on roadside hoardings. [74] The Conservatives and Lib Dems both also rejected the idea of a coalition with the SNP. ", "Election 2015: The Guardian poll projection", "Political Spread Betting - General Election Preview, Most Seats 15th April 2015", "Politics Spread Betting – UK General Election: Seats Markets", "Miliband challenges Cameron to defend Fink – but won't describe Fink as 'dodgy': Politics Live blog", "General Election 2015 – A distribution of general election forecasts", "Will Britain be governable after the election?
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